
Are Man Utd showing any signs of progress under Amorim?
Are Manchester United Showing Progress Under Amorim?
Current Form & League Position
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14th place in the Premier League marks United’s worst start since 1992-93.
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Just 4 points from their opening four matches.
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The team has only two wins in their past 13 league games.
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Latest result: a 3-0 home defeat to rivals Manchester City, underlining the lack of impact in big games.
Underlying Metrics – Better Than They Look?
Despite results painting a bleak picture, club insiders and data analysts highlight modest improvements in underlying performance indicators:
Expected Goal (xG) Metrics:
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xG difference (non-penalty) has improved steadily since March 2025.
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Only 7 Premier League clubs have had a better non-penalty xG difference in that time.
Execution Problems:
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United have underperformed by 9 goals compared to expected output (xG), indicating poor finishing.
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They’ve conceded 3.4 more goals than expected (xGA), highlighting issues with goalkeeping and defensive decision-making.
Visual Performance Curve:
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Graph data shows:
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A decline in actual goal difference (yellow line).
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A rise in expected goal difference (black line).
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This divergence indicates that dominance in games isn’t translating into results.
Amorim’s Managerial Record
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Win rate: Only 25.8% in the Premier League – far below expectations for a United manager.
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Points since March: Just 13 points, joint-lowest in the league alongside West Ham in that period.
Club’s Internal Perspective
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Despite the poor form, Manchester United’s board remains supportive of Amorim.
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They believe the numbers show potential for recovery and a long-term philosophy being put into place.
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However, there is a growing pressure from fans and media, especially after heavy defeats in big matches.
Conclusion:
Progress on Paper, Not on the Pitch
Signs of progress:
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Improved xG and xGA metrics.
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Indications of tactical structure and game dominance.
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Younger players showing signs of adapting to Amorim’s high-press, proactive style.
But no real-world translation:
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Points return is among the worst in the league.
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Finishing and goalkeeping continue to cost points.
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Morale and public perception are low.
What Needs to Happen Next?
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Improved finishing – Turning chances into goals must be the immediate focus.
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Stabilize defence and goalkeeping – Errors in critical moments continue to hurt results.
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Win big matches – Derby defeats fuel unrest.
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Translate dominance into victories – Underlying stats must begin to reflect in the scorelines.
Unless these elements improve soon, statistical promise won’t be enough to save Amorim’s job.
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